Defense Technology Foresight

Developing and procuring defense equipment can take years, or even decades. Nevertheless, this equipment still needs to be state of the art then. Comprehensive foresight into possible future technological developments can make it significantly easier to overcome this contradiction in defense research and technology planning.

Since the early 1970s, the core mission of the research group has been to provide decision support to the Federal Ministry of Defence (BMVg) on all matters of technological development and their implications for its R&T planning. 

The technology-oriented futurology generates decision-making knowledge about probable scientific and technical future developments and their potential relevance to defense and military applications. In particular, this includes the early detection of new technological developments within a technology scanning and monitoring approach designed as a 360° technology radar, as well as the identification of associated opportunities and risks for defense and security.

The team consists of researchers from all relevant scientific and technical disciplines with many years of practical experience in futurology. Thanks to its long-standing, close cooperation with the Federal Ministry of Defense and its subordinate agencies, the scientists also have in-depth knowledge of structures, processes and requirements in the defense sector. This allows the research results to be optimally tailored to the needs of the BMVg. To ensure the quality of its own processes and results, the research group also engages in regular exchanges through international collaborations. Its staff actively participates in international committees of EDA and NATO and works on projects for the EDA, the European Commission and other European partners.

  • Technology foresight across the entire technological spectrum
  • Analysis of the potential defense and military relevance of new technologies, including, where appropriate, those for civil security
  • In-depth analyses of individual technology topics (description/demarcation, anticipation, environment, consequences, recommendations for action) through desk research and using the analysis tool KATI®
  • Brief expert reports/ad hoc statements on individual technological topics
  • Technological evaluation/contributions to the development of capability requirements (military or relevant to civil security)
  • Technological assessment together with clients using various workshop methods ("assessment gaming", "war café", expert-moderated focus group workshops)
  • Customized result transfer formats (report formats, workshops, lectures) for optimal further processing of the results within the clients' processes

Defense Technologies Forecast (WTV)
Continuous study of selected individual topics with regard to the state of research, future potential and implications for R&T planning by the Federal Ministry of Defense (BMVg) and the Federal Office of Bundeswehr Equipment, Information Technology and In-Service Support (BAAINBw) (client: BMVg) in various formats since the mid-1970s

R&T-country reports
Analysis of international defense technology research (client: BMVg), since 2005

Future R&T situation
Design and implementation of the process; the centerpiece is the annual R&T Future Situation Conference (commissioned by BMVg), since 2017

INDY
"Energy Independent and Efficient Systems for Military Infrastructures" (project for the European Commission as part of the "European Defence Fund EDF"), 2022–2025

NOMAD
"Novel Energy Storage Technologies usable at Military Deployments in Forward Operating Bases" (project for the European Commission as part of the "European Defence Fund EDF"), 2022–2027

Teknisk Prognos
Contributions to "Teknisk Prognos/Technology Forecast" (on behalf of the Swedish Defense Materiel Administration FMV), continuously since 2009